Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.242429 1.526106 1.894723 2.425422 3.200665 4.348488 6.306064
2025-04-06 0.856029 1.149782 1.590097 2.351435 3.776251 6.748304 15.405681
2025-04-13 0.668542 0.947730 1.405590 2.303587 4.340817 10.188777 44.546939
2025-04-20 0.588157 0.874826 1.385522 2.519925 5.702121 19.765201 532.722506
2025-04-27 0.521934 0.804031 1.338779 2.650837 7.098037 39.315277 NaN
2025-05-04 0.461173 0.727463 1.254339 2.643575 8.115477 74.506096 NaN
2025-05-11 0.407305 0.652625 1.152149 2.536668 8.635316 131.248890 NaN
2025-05-18 0.375085 0.612864 1.114946 2.600331 10.257180 454.140558 NaN
2025-05-25 0.352470 0.587699 1.103749 2.743239 12.949974 20573.130373 NaN
2025-06-01 0.326538 0.551665 1.058124 2.747006 14.845119 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.299486 0.509704 0.989387 2.634332 15.477632 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.286061 0.494538 0.984967 2.773400 19.911721 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.269247 0.470526 0.954186 2.797530 23.578197 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.250881 0.441172 0.904113 2.715285 25.359981 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.235410 0.416614 0.863080 2.658135 27.822871 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.230418 0.414824 0.885106 2.925702 44.029953 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.222784 0.406060 0.885354 3.088604 64.788694 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.212068 0.388987 0.857729 3.079568 79.169595 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.199865 0.367354 0.812986 2.946580 81.363707 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.192855 0.357419 0.802849 3.025711 115.812961 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.188032 0.352230 0.806719 3.204045 210.871118 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.180688 0.340246 0.786776 3.208759 296.497258 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.171706 0.323582 0.749304 3.068052 299.745991 NaN NaN